From the master of peasant cunning to the Big Doctor Evil. The future of Alexander Lukashenko in the short term. The experimental essay - an attempt of a fragmentary biographical reconstruction
Аннотация: From the master of peasant cunning to the Big Doctor Evil. The future of Alexander Lukashenko in the short term. The experimental essay - an attempt of a fragmentary biographical reconstruction.
From the master of peasant cunning to the Big Doctor Evil. The future of Alexander Lukashenko in the short term. The experimental essay - an attempt of a fragmentary biographical reconstruction.
1. Mass torture - a leap into political darkness. From the image of a political visionary, of an economic sly and hockey enthusiast to the reputation of Big Doctor Evil.
There were rumors that Lukashenko once was the alone parliamentarian who voted in the parliament of Belarus against the decision on the independence of the republic (or against the Belovezhskaya agreements). These rumors are not confirmed by anything ... But these rumors created the image of a political visionary and an independent politician for Alexander Lukashenko.
With a positive reputation Lukashenko became president; but a problem arose - the Belarusian population wants to live no worse than in the neighboring countries of the West ...
Alexander Lukashenko showed himself to be a master of peasant cunning - he was skillfully obtaining from Russia his share of the raw material pie, his share of geopolitical rent.
But August 2020 came ... What happened? .. According to our assumptions, Lukashenko had a political consultant (or a group of political consultants) - a little doctor Evil.
Lukashenko crossed the line in the policy of intimidating the population - the practice of mass torture began. From a political visionary, from an economic sly and from a hockey lover, Alexander Lukashenko turned into the Big Doctor Evil.
2. A responsibility for torture. Awards. Government appointment. Sorry if made a mistake.
It seems that Lukashenko himself was morally and politically unprepared for such a political baggage as the image of Big Doctor Evil.
For a beginning, the Minister of Internal Affairs of Belarus said that he, the minister, is taking a responsibility for the violence. Logically, it turns out that Alexander Lukashenko is not responsible for the mass torture.
Then the awards followed ...
After the awards, Lukashenko approved the new composition of the government - the same composition that was before. The Minister of the Interior, who had assumed responsibility for the violence, was reappointed as minister. This meant Lukashenko's approval of his (the minister) actions. Thus, responsibility returned to Lukashenko. What was an aim, why should the minister take responsibility for himself?
But no matter, what kind of a maneuvering is taking place, the luggage is an unpleasant. Again we hear - "sorry if made a mistake." Why then award? Why to form a government without changing its composition?
The clock is ticking. The more time passes after the period of mass torture, the longer an investigation is not ordered, the longer political and legal responsibility for mass torture does not come, the more difficult it is for Alexander Lukashenko to part with the reputation of Big Doctor Evil ...
3. "Nazis"? Lockouts?
What to do next? The term "Nazis" appears. 'Nazis' are those against whom a violence (firearms) can be used without formalities and restrictions. And without a warning ...
Lukashenko listens to political echoes. The public does not swallow the "Nazis" ...
What then?
Yesterday we heard that Lukashenko is the guarantor of the work of large enterprises. And today we are told about the closure of large enterprises - if there are strikes at these enterprises.
If not "Nazis", then - lockouts ... Are they scared? They will certainly be frightened...
4. Lukashenko's fairy-tale world.
The general stylistics of Lukashenko's political today actions - it's a uncompromising behavior, a decisive manner, an attempt to inflate up a fear, to intimidate ... "No one step backward!" "The enemy is at the bank of Volga!"
But what's next?
Let's say a big drums sounded, columns began to march and cannons rumbled ...
But after that, be that as it may, you will have to feed the population of Belarus ...
Little doctor Evil's recipes again? Following the example of Venezuela, the most part of dissatisfied persons will be pushing out abroad? And the rest will sit down on the raw material pie of Russia (to create such hopes, little doctor Evil needs to have connections in the political environment of Russia ...)?
The fairy-tale world of Alexander Lukashenko ...
A note. With the exception of a few quotes that the radio provided, we personally did not hear Lukashenko. In theory, the use of media materials - instead of transcripts - can lead to individual inaccuracies.
August 22, 2020 21:18
Translation from Russian into English: August 22, 2020 22:17.
Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Из мастера крестьянской хитрости в Большого Доктора Зло. Будущее Александра Лукашенко в краткосрочной перспективе. Опыт фрагментарной биографической реконструкции'.